OVER / UNDER
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CA-11 primary margin of victory?

Price history — Scott Wiener, ≥30%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

1¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Scott Wiener, 10-15%50¢
Scott Wiener, 15-20%27¢
Scott Wiener, 5-10%15¢
Scott Wiener, 25-30%2¢
Scott Wiener, 20-25%2¢
Scott Wiener, 0-5%2¢
Scott Wiener, ≥30%★ BEST1¢
Connie Chan wins0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 8.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Scott Wiener, ≥30%
at 1¢
Price gap
Kalshi1¢
→
OU's fair21¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 100×
Confidence
Moderate

Early results from the June 2 primary show Scott Wiener holding a substantial lead over Connie Chan and other challengers in the race for the CA-11 seat.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.