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CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

Price history — Brad Sherman, ≥20%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

1¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Brad Sherman, 5-10%48¢
Brad Sherman, 0-5%25¢
Larry Thompson wins18¢
Brad Sherman, ≥20%★ BEST1¢
Brad Sherman, 10-15%1¢
Brad Sherman, 15-20%1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.2K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Brad Sherman, ≥20%
at 1¢
Price gap
Kalshi1¢
→
OU's fair21¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 100×
Confidence
Moderate

Brad Sherman is a long-term incumbent in a safe Democratic district who consistently wins by massive margins against minor primary challengers.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.