Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory? Odds & Analysis

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Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?

Price history — Christine Drazan, ≥25%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Christine Drazan, 5-10%97¢

Christine Drazan, 15-20%0¢

Christine Drazan, 10-15%0¢

Christine Drazan, 20-25%0¢

Ed Diehl, ≥15%0¢

Ed Diehl, 0-5%0¢

Ed Diehl, 5-10%0¢

Christine Drazan, 0-5%0¢

Ed Diehl, 10-15%0¢

Christine Drazan, ≥25%★ BEST0¢

Kalshi • Volume: 14.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-05-19

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Christine Drazan, ≥25%

at 0¢

Price gap

Kalshi0¢

→

OU's fair20¢

+20¢ underpriced

Confidence

Moderate

Search results confirm Christine Drazan has already declared victory in the 2026 primary and historical margins for dominant frontrunners often exceed twenty-five percent.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.