Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? Odds & Analysis

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Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Price history — Mallory McMorrow wins

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%16¢

Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%16¢

Haley Stevens, 0-3%16¢

Haley Stevens, 6-9%6¢

Mallory McMorrow wins★ BEST5¢

Haley Stevens, 9-12%5¢

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%4¢

Haley Stevens, 3-6%3¢

Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%3¢

Haley Stevens, 12-15%3¢

Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%3¢

Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%3¢

Haley Stevens, ≥15%2¢

Kalshi • Volume: 1.3K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-08-04

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Mallory McMorrow wins

at 5¢

Price gap

Kalshi5¢

→

OU's fair25¢

+20¢ underpriced · pays 20×

Confidence

Moderate

FEC data shows Mallory McMorrow leads in cash on hand while recent polling indicates a dead heat between her and Abdul El-Sayed in a competitive primary field.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.