OVER / UNDER
KXPRIMARYMOV-KY4R26 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXPRIMARYMOV-KY4R26 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXPRIMARYMOV-KY4R26 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXPRIMARYMOV-KY4R26 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXPRIMARYMOV-KY4R26 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXPRIMARYMOV-KY4R26 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Price history — Ed Gallrein, ≥20%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Ed Gallrein, 5-10%92¢
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%1¢
Thomas Massie, 10-15%0¢
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%★ BEST0¢
Ed Gallrein, 15-20%0¢
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%0¢
Thomas Massie, ≥20%0¢
Thomas Massie, 5-10%0¢
Thomas Massie, 15-20%0¢
Thomas Massie, 0-5%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.1M contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-05-19
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair0¢
Confidence
Low

Ed Gallrein defeated incumbent Thomas Massie in the primary held on May 19 2026 according to multiple news reports.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.