OVER / UNDER
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PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory

Price history — Chris Rabb, 5-10%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Chris Rabb, 15-20%97¢
Chris Rabb, 0-5%0¢
Sharif Street, 5-10%0¢
Ala Stanford wins0¢
Chris Rabb, 5-10%★ BEST0¢
Chris Rabb, 10-15%0¢
Sharif Street, 10-15%0¢
Chris Rabb, ≥25%0¢
Sharif Street, 15-20%0¢
Chris Rabb, 20-25%0¢
Sharif Street, ≥25%0¢
Sharif Street, 20-25%0¢
Sharif Street, 0-5%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 40.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-05-19
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Chris Rabb, 5-10%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate

Multiple news reports confirm Chris Rabb won the primary in an upset but do not provide the specific margin of victory required to resolve the exact contract.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.