Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? Odds & Analysis

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Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Price history — Josh Turek, 0-5%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Josh Turek, 25-30%54¢

Josh Turek, 20-25%9¢

Josh Turek, 30-35%1¢

Josh Turek, ≥35%0¢

Josh Turek, 5-10%0¢

Josh Turek, 10-15%0¢

Josh Turek, 15-20%0¢

Josh Turek, 0-5%★ BEST0¢

Kalshi • Volume: 19.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-03

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Josh Turek, 0-5%

at 0¢

Price gap

Kalshi0¢

→

OU's fair20¢

+20¢ underpriced

Confidence

Moderate

Search results confirm Josh Turek defeated Zach Wahls in the June 2 primary but FEC data shows a very narrow fundraising gap between the two top candidates.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.