When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Price history — Before 2040
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
61¢
48¢
30¢
6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 28.6K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2040-01-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · Before 2040
at 61¢
Price gap
Kalshi61¢
→OU's fair60¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Low
Current evidence only shows broad quantum computing progress and not a dated breakthrough meeting the contract definition.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.