Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
Price history — Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 3.6K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2029-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 20¢ · pays 5.0×
Price gap
Kalshi20¢
→OU's fair25¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 5.0×
Confidence
Low
The Parti Quebecois leads in provincial polling but currently lacks the legislative majority or federal cooperation required to formalize a referendum date before 2029.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.