Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?
Price history — Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES22¢ (22%)
NO78¢ (78%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 571.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 78¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi78¢
→OU's fair85¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
The NRC licensing framework for new reactors is primarily focused on construction permits through 2027 rather than final combined operating licenses.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.