OVER / UNDER
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What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Price history — Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

94¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥3 years95¢
Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year★ BEST94¢
'Anti-weaponization' fund restrictions68¢
Secret Service funding14¢
Defense appropriations >$1 billion2¢
Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥1 year1¢
Ballroom security funding1¢
Funding for all of DHS lasting ≥3 years1¢
State grants for election administration1¢
Reducing EITC improper payments1¢
Reduction in Medicaid spending0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 40K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Funding for ICE/CBP lasting ≥1 year
at 94¢
Price gap
Kalshi94¢
→
OU's fair85¢
−9¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Senate Republicans have passed a budget resolution that explicitly includes over three hundred billion dollars for immigration enforcement through the reconciliation process.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.