Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Price history — Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 904.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Kalshi9¢
→OU's fair12¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Low
The United States maintains no official policy recognizing Reza Pahlavi and has taken no concrete diplomatic actions toward such a recognition through mid-2026.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.