OVER / UNDER
KXRECSSNBER-27 ★ KALSHI ★ YES/NO ★ KXRECSSNBER-27 ★ KALSHI ★ YES/NO ★ KXRECSSNBER-27 ★ KALSHI ★ YES/NO ★ KXRECSSNBER-27 ★ KALSHI ★ YES/NO ★ KXRECSSNBER-27 ★ KALSHI ★ YES/NO ★ KXRECSSNBER-27 ★ KALSHI ★ YES/NO ★

Will there be a recession in 2027?

Price history — Will there be a recession in 2027?

Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

64¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
YES36¢ (36%)
NO64¢ (64%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 32.7K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2028-01-31
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
NO at 64¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Kalshi64¢
OU's fair78¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate

Current economic data shows positive GDP growth and low unemployment while economist David Rosenberg warns of a potential recession in 2027 as fiscal stimulus fades.

Wide edge+14¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.