Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Price history — Louisiana
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
97¢
95¢
92¢
91¢
88¢
87¢
85¢
83¢
76¢
69¢
13¢
11¢
5¢
4¢
4¢
4¢
4¢
4¢
4¢
3¢
2¢
2¢
1¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8M contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Louisiana
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→OU's fair85¢
−7¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Louisiana is required to use a new congressional map with a second majority-black district for the 2026 elections following federal court rulings and legislative action.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.