Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?
Price history — Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES15¢ (15%)
NO85¢ (85%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 213.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 15¢ · pays 6.7×
Price gap
Kalshi15¢
→OU's fair22¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 6.7×
Confidence
Moderate
McConnell has already announced he will not seek re-election but intends to serve out his full term through the end of 2026 despite his leadership exit.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.