Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?
Price history — Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES40¢ (40%)
NO60¢ (60%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 94.8K contracts • Updated 8h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 60¢ · pays 1.7×
Price gap
Kalshi60¢
→OU's fair85¢
+25¢ underpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Low
Historical data shows Supreme Court vacancies are rare and unpredictable with no current justices having announced plans to step down before the end of 2026.
Wide edge+25¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.