Arizona Secretary of State winner?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
82¢
14¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 82¢
Price gap
Kalshi82¢
→OU's fair58¢
−24¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Arizona is a highly competitive swing state where Democrats have won recent statewide elections but the market price of 81 cents implies a certainty not support…
Wide edge+24¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.