When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Price history — Before Jul 1, 2026
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
77¢
68¢
40¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 187.9K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-07-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Before Jul 1, 2026
at 77¢
Price gap
Kalshi77¢
→OU's fair89¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
A budget resolution passed on April 23 and committees were mandated to submit reconciliation text by May 15 which indicates the legislative process is well underway.
Wide edge+12¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.