Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES57¢ (57%)
NO43¢ (43%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 30.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 43¢ · pays 2.3×
Price gap
Kalshi43¢
→OU's fair66¢
+23¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Prime Minister Starmer faces internal party pressure following poor May election results but the next general election is not legally required until August 2029.
Wide edge+23¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.