Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Price history — Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES27¢ (27%)
NO73¢ (73%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 64.2K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2030-01-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 73¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Kalshi73¢
→OU's fair80¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
SpaceX has reportedly deprioritized Mars missions in favor of lunar development and current projections suggest cargo flights to the Martian surface will not begin until 2030.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.