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São Paulo Governor winner?

Price history — Tarcísio de Freitas

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

85¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Tarcísio de Freitas★ BEST85¢
Kim Kataguiri3¢
Paulo Serra0¢
Márcio França0¢
Erika Hilton0¢
Fernando Haddad0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 29.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-10-04
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Tarcísio de Freitas
at 85¢
Price gap
Kalshi85¢
→
OU's fair69¢
−16¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Tarcísio de Freitas holds a double-digit lead over Fernando Haddad in early Datafolha polling for the 2026 gubernatorial race.

Wide edge+16¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.