What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXTARIFFRATEEU-26JUL01 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

← Back

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

Price history — Between 10% and 19.99%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Between 10% and 19.99%★ BEST69¢

Below 10%18¢

Between 20% and 29.99%2¢

Between 30% and 39.99%0¢

Between 50% and 60%0¢

Between 40% and 49.99%0¢

Above 60%0¢

Kalshi • Volume: 12.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-07-01

Kalshi · Politics

OU's Pick

YES · Between 10% and 19.99%

at 69¢

Price gap

Kalshi69¢

→

OU's fair65¢

−4¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×

Confidence

Moderate

Search context indicates a new baseline tariff of 10% is expected to be applied on top of existing rates for EU goods by mid-2026.

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.