New York City temperature on Jun 4, 2026 at 9pm EDT? Odds & Analysis

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New York City temperature on Jun 4, 2026 at 9pm EDT?

Price history — 74° or above

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

64° or above99¢

65° or above99¢

67° or above99¢

68° or above99¢

70° or above99¢

71° or above99¢

72° or above99¢

69° or above99¢

66° or above99¢

73° or above90¢

74° or above★ BEST50¢

75° or above42¢

76° or above1¢

77° or above1¢

79° or above0¢

81° or above0¢

82° or above0¢

83° or above0¢

84° or above0¢

85° or above0¢

86° or above0¢

87° or above0¢

78° or above0¢

80° or above0¢

Kalshi • Volume: 4.9K contracts • Updated 43m agoCloses: 2026-06-05

Kalshi · Climate and Weather

OU's Pick

YES · 74° or above

at 50¢

Price gap

Kalshi50¢

→

OU's fair16¢

−34¢ overpriced · pays 2.0×

Confidence

Moderate

The Open-Meteo forecast for June 4 shows a low of 61 degrees which suggests temperatures will likely drop below the mid-70s by 9pm EDT.

Wide edge+34¢

Closes in18h

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.