Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 4, 2026? Odds & Analysis

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Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 4, 2026?

Price history — 4.49% to 4.51%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

4.46% to 4.48%80¢

4.49% to 4.51%★ BEST13¢

4.43% to 4.45%6¢

4.52% to 4.54%3¢

4.4% to 4.42%1¢

4.27% or below0¢

4.28% to 4.3%0¢

4.31% to 4.33%0¢

4.34% to 4.36%0¢

4.37% to 4.39%0¢

4.58% to 4.6%0¢

4.67% or above0¢

4.55% to 4.57%0¢

4.64% to 4.66%0¢

4.61% to 4.63%0¢

Kalshi • Volume: 840.8 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-04

Kalshi · Financials

OU's Pick

YES · 4.49% to 4.51%

at 13¢

Price gap

Kalshi13¢

→

OU's fair33¢

+20¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×

Confidence

Moderate

The 10-year Treasury yield was reported at 4.49 percent on June 4 according to YCharts and CNBC data.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.