Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?
Price history — Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES91¢ (91%)
NO9¢ (9%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 21.9K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Kalshi9¢
→OU's fair25¢
+16¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
Multiple reports from May 2026 indicate the conservative majority on the Supreme Court signaled support for state-level transgender sports bans during oral arguments.
Wide edge+16¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.