Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES46¢ (46%)
NO54¢ (54%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 54¢ · pays 1.9×
Price gap
Kalshi54¢
→OU's fair74¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate
While the project has received early approval from the Commission of Fine Arts and survey work has begun, the timeline for actual construction remains speculative and unconfirmed.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.