Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?
Price history — Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 450.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-12-31
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 5¢ · pays 20×
Price gap
Kalshi5¢
→OU's fair7¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 20×
Confidence
Low
The requirement for five percent quarterly GDP growth is historically rare and the FRED data shows recent growth at only two percent.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.