Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Price history — Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 473.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 80¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→OU's fair95¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical precedent and the high constitutional threshold for Senate conviction make removal from office an extremely rare outcome despite the introduction of impeachment articles.
Wide edge+15¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.