Will President Trump resign before his term is up?
Price history — Will President Trump resign before his term is up?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES16¢ (16%)
NO84¢ (84%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 204.2K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2029-01-21
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 84¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Kalshi84¢
→OU's fair95¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Low
Historical data shows that presidential resignations are extremely rare and current political indicators suggest the president intends to serve his full term until 2029.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.