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Texas Senate: Exact outcome

Price history — Cornyn defeats Talarico

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

2¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Paxton defeats Talarico55¢
Talarico defeats Paxton42¢
Cornyn defeats Talarico★ BEST2¢
Talarico defeats Cornyn1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 110.4K contracts • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2028-01-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Cornyn defeats Talarico
at 2¢
Price gap
Kalshi2¢
→
OU's fair23¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 53×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Senator John Cornyn won his primary and advanced to a runoff against Ken Paxton while James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in a historically Republican state.

Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.