OVER / UNDER
KXU3-26AUG ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXU3-26AUG ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXU3-26AUG ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXU3-26AUG ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXU3-26AUG ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXU3-26AUG ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Unemployment in August

Price history — Above 3.9%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

84¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 6/7Mon 6/8Tue 6/9TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Above 3.7%93¢
Above 3.8%91¢
Above 3.9%★ BEST84¢
Above 4.0%81¢
Above 4.1%69¢
Above 4.2%57¢
Above 4.3%44¢
Above 4.4%31¢
Above 4.5%21¢
Above 4.6%10¢
Above 4.7%4¢
Above 4.9%0¢
Above 5.0%0¢
Above 4.8%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-09-04
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 3.9%
at 84¢
Price gap
Kalshi84¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the official unemployment rate for May 2026 at 4.3 percent and recent jobless claims show a significant upward trend.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.