Unemployment in June
Price history — Above 3.9%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
99¢
97¢
90¢
66¢
29¢
4¢
2¢
2¢
1¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.2K contracts • Updated 42m agoCloses: 2026-07-02 (26d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 3.9%
at 99¢
Price gap
Kalshi99¢
→OU's fair95¢
−4¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the May 2026 unemployment rate at 4.3 percent with a stable trend since July 2025.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.