Unemployment in May 2026
Price history — Above 3.9%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
99¢
98¢
94¢
72¢
35¢
9¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 73.5K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-05 (11d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 3.9%
at 99¢
Price gap
Kalshi99¢
→OU's fair95¢
−4¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the April 2026 unemployment rate at 4.3 percent and initial jobless claims have increased since that report.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.