Unemployment in October

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Unemployment in October

Price history — Above 3.7%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Above 3.7%★ BEST98¢

Above 3.8%96¢

Above 3.9%89¢

Above 4.0%86¢

Above 4.1%71¢

Above 4.2%60¢

Above 4.3%49¢

Above 4.4%35¢

Above 4.5%23¢

Above 4.6%15¢

Above 4.7%11¢

Above 4.8%4¢

Above 4.9%2¢

Above 5.0%2¢

Kalshi • Volume: 1.7K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-06

Kalshi · Economics

OU's Pick

YES · Above 3.7%

at 98¢

Price gap

Kalshi98¢

→

OU's fair95¢

−3¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×

Confidence

Moderate

The current unemployment rate of 4.3 percent reported in May 2026 sits significantly above the 3.7 percent threshold with no signs of a rapid decline in recent data.

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.