How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Price history — Above 5%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
86¢
78¢
67¢
51¢
47¢
28¢
20¢
13¢
10¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 14.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2030-01-04
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 5%
at 86¢
Price gap
Kalshi86¢
→OU's fair63¢
−23¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Current unemployment is 4.3 percent as of April 2026 and the Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive policy stance that typically precedes higher unemployment rates.
Wide edge+23¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.