Will the fight go the distance?
Price history — Will the fight go the distance?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES46¢ (46%)
NO54¢ (54%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 3.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-21 (14d)
Kalshi · Sports
OU's Pick
YES at 46¢ · pays 2.2×
Price gap
Kalshi46¢
→OU's fair58¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 2.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Fares Ziam has a high frequency of decision results in his UFC career while Tom Nolan possesses significant finishing power that could end the bout early.
Wide edge+12¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.