Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 956.1 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.1×
Price gap
Kalshi11¢
→OU's fair25¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz recently stated that Ukraine's EU membership is not possible by January 2027 and emphasized that the country must still fulfill specific criteria.
Wide edge+14¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.