OVER / UNDER
KXUKRETAIL-26JUN19 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUKRETAIL-26JUN19 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUKRETAIL-26JUN19 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUKRETAIL-26JUN19 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUKRETAIL-26JUN19 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUKRETAIL-26JUN19 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

UK retail sales in May

Price history — Above -2.0%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

90¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Above -2.0%★ BEST90¢
Above -1.5%89¢
Above -1.0%74¢
Above 0.0%47¢
Above 0.5%40¢
Above 1.0%20¢
Above 1.5%9¢
Above 2.0%1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-19 (15d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above -2.0%
at 90¢
Price gap
Kalshi90¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+5¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

UK retail sales volumes fell by 1.3% in April 2026 and a further drop exceeding 2.0% in May would be historically extreme despite recent volatility.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.