How high will the 10Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Price history — Above 4.50%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
89¢
45¢
33¢
12¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 4.50%
at 89¢
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
→OU's fair69¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
The 10Y Treasury yield is currently at 4.46 percent and has recently fluctuated near the 4.50 percent threshold according to FRED and YCharts data.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.