10Y US Treasury Yield at month-end? Odds & Analysis

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10Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

Price history — Above 4.45%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Above 4.45%★ BEST62¢

Above 4.50%42¢

Above 4.55%40¢

Above 4.65%20¢

Above 4.70%11¢

Kalshi • Volume: 6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)

Kalshi · Economics

OU's Pick

YES · Above 4.45%

at 62¢

Price gap

Kalshi62¢

→

OU's fair55¢

−7¢ overpriced · pays 1.6×

Confidence

Moderate

The 10Y Treasury yield is currently at 4.46 percent as of June 2 and recent trends show it holding above the 4.45 percent threshold.

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.