How high will the 2Y US Treasury climb by month-end?
Price history — Above 4.10%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
76¢
23¢
11¢
9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 4.10%
at 76¢
Price gap
Kalshi76¢
→OU's fair56¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
The 2Y Treasury yield is currently at 4.06 percent as of June 4 and would require a significant upward shift to reach the 4.10 percent threshold by the end of the month.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.