How high will the 5Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?
Price history — Above 4.25%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
71¢
39¢
28¢
12¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 4.25%
at 71¢
Price gap
Kalshi71¢
→OU's fair45¢
−26¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
The 5-year Treasury yield was recently reported at 4.21% on June 2nd which is just below the first threshold with several weeks of trading remaining.
Wide edge+26¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.