OVER / UNDER
KXUSTYLD-5Y26JUN30 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUSTYLD-5Y26JUN30 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUSTYLD-5Y26JUN30 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUSTYLD-5Y26JUN30 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUSTYLD-5Y26JUN30 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXUSTYLD-5Y26JUN30 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

UST par yield curve (5Y) at end of Q2 2026

Price history — Above 3.20%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Above 3.50%91¢
Above 4.50%1¢
Above 4.60%1¢
Above 3.90%0¢
Above 4.20%0¢
Above 3.60%0¢
Above 4.10%0¢
Above 3.80%0¢
Above 4.40%0¢
Above 4.00%0¢
Above 3.30%0¢
Above 3.40%0¢
Above 3.70%0¢
Above 4.30%0¢
Above 3.20%★ BEST0¢
Above 4.70%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 6.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-30 (26d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 3.20%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair23¢
+23¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate

The 5-year Treasury yield is currently trading at 4.18 percent as of June 1 2026 which is significantly higher than the 3.20 percent threshold.

Wide edge+23¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.