What will JD Vance say during his Air Force commencement address?
Price history — National Security
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
89¢
83¢
83¢
76¢
61¢
61¢
58¢
56¢
56¢
31¢
30¢
23¢
19¢
17¢
16¢
14¢
12¢
12¢
12¢
12¢
8¢
4¢
Kalshi • Volume: 80.1K contracts • Updated 3m agoCloses: 2026-06-12 (15d)
Kalshi · Mentions
OU's Pick
YES · National Security
at 30¢
Price gap
Kalshi30¢
→OU's fair49¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 3.3×
Confidence
Moderate
National security is a standard theme for high-level commencement addresses at military academies and aligns with Vance's established legislative focus as a Senator.
Wide edge+19¢
High volume64k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.