VA-09 Democratic nominee?
Price history — Adam Murphy
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
58¢
13¢
13¢
3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 8.7K contracts • Updated 3m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Adam Murphy
at 13¢
Price gap
Kalshi13¢
→OU's fair45¢
+32¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×
Confidence
Low
Adam Murphy has officially launched a campaign tour for the seat and is actively listed as a candidate on Ballotpedia for the 2026 cycle.
Wide edge+32¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.