Major volcano eruption in 2026?
Price history — At least 1
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
43¢
12¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 602 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-29
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · At least 1
at 43¢
Price gap
Kalshi43¢
→OU's fair55¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data from the Global Volcanism Program shows that VEI 4 eruptions occur approximately once per year on average with 47 total eruptions already noted for 2026.
Wide edge+12¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.