Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.3% for Jun 4, 2026?
Price history — Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.3% for Jun 4, 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES26¢ (26%)
NO74¢ (74%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 6.3K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-05 (6d)
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 26¢ · pays 3.8×
Price gap
Kalshi26¢
→OU's fair35¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 3.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent polling data from May 2026 shows Trump with a net approval rating of -13 and a historic high disapproval rating that suggests his approval is likely below the threshold.
Closes in6d 0h
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.