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California governor primary: Eric Swalwell vote percent

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Below 4%96¢
4% - 8%1¢
16% - 20%0¢
12% - 16%0¢
20% - 24%0¢
24% - 28%★ BEST0¢
At least 32%0¢
28% - 32%0¢
8% - 12%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 64.1K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 24% - 28%
at 0¢
Price gap
Kalshi0¢
→
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling from Emerson College and Inside California Politics shows Eric Swalwell leading the primary field with approximately twenty-five percent of the vote.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.