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California governor primary: Steve Hilton vote percent

Price history — 24% - 28%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

21¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
20% - 24%29¢
24% - 28%★ BEST21¢
16% - 20%21¢
12% - 16%7¢
28% - 32%4¢
At least 32%2¢
4% - 8%1¢
8% - 12%1¢
Below 4%1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 98.2K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 24% - 28%
at 21¢
Price gap
Kalshi21¢
→
OU's fair28¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 4.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling shows Steve Hilton leading the Republican field and competing for the top spot in a crowded primary field where the leading candidate typically clears twenty percent.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.