OVER / UNDER
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CA-11 primary: Connie Chan vote percent

Price history — 40% - 45%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

1¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
25% - 30%38¢
30% - 35%27¢
20% - 25%11¢
35% - 40%2¢
Below 20%2¢
40% - 45%★ BEST1¢
At least 45%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 6.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 40% - 45%
at 1¢
Price gap
Kalshi1¢
→
OU's fair21¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 100×
Confidence
Moderate

KTVU and CBS News report Connie Chan is a frontrunner in the primary to succeed Nancy Pelosi and is projected to reach a runoff against Scott Wiener.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.